The math behind every digital pack

Expected value in one line

Multiply each tier's typical card value by its odds, then add them up. That's what the pack returns on average.

Worked example (hypothetical numbers)

A $10 pack: 85% chance of about $4, 12% chance of about $20, 3% chance of about $100. Expected value = 0.85×4 + 0.12×20 + 0.03×100 = $8.80, or 88% of the price.

What to do with that number

• Compare packs: higher expected value per dollar is better.
• Remember the median: 85% of the time in this example you get about $4.
• Sell-back terms change the math: 90% credit instead of 100% cash lowers your real return.

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18+ (higher in some states). Most pulls are worth less than the pack price. Terms apply.